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0 of 4 missions completed. Current mission: Population Viability. Model extinction risk using PVA (Population Viability Analysis).

Conservation Biology Lab

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Conservation Biology — Population Viability

Conservation biology uses population viability analysis to determine how large a population must be and what habitat conditions must hold for a species to survive over the long term. This simulation implements a stochastic population model with demographic and environmental variability, so you can test whether a reserve of a given size or a translocation program prevents extinction within a target timeframe. Minimum viable population size emerges from the simulations rather than being assumed.

What you can do in this simulation

  • Set initial population size, birth rate, and death rate to define baseline dynamics
  • Add demographic stochasticity and observe how small populations are prone to chance extinction
  • Introduce periodic catastrophes (drought, disease) and measure their impact on extinction probability
  • Simulate a translocation program by adding individuals and track population recovery
  • Run many stochastic trials and plot the extinction probability distribution over time

Concepts covered

population viability analysis · minimum viable population · stochastic extinction · demographic stochasticity · carrying capacity · translocation

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